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Ben Bajarin· @BenBajarin · X·· 14 天前AI 评分44
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Ben Bajarin 与某主要超大规模云厂商人士交流后表示,GPU 从下单到装机的交付周期一直是 1-2 个季度,受数据中心分阶段集成(staged integration)影响,供应链横跨算力、冷却、电力等环节,管理难度大。所谓“GPU 已订未装、待通电”的担忧不属实,脱离半导体供应链管理实际。他认为 AI 仍处采用周期早期,需要更多算力,需求只会继续上升。

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I talked to a friendly, from a major hyper scaler, on the GPU order to install lead time (per people freaking out some are ordered and not installed) and the lead time is and always has been a range of one to two quarters. Given data center timing (they call this staged integration) the supply chain is notoriously difficult to manage across compute, cooling, power, etc.

Any concern of GPUs waiting to be energized is a nothing burger and is totally detached from the reality of supply chain management, especially that of semis.

We remain early in the adoption cycle for AI, we need a lot more compute, and the demand profile only increases to rise.

Hope that helps :)

来源:Ben Bajarin · x.com