a16z· @a16z · X·· 24 天前AI 评分54
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a16z 转发前 Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger 的观点,核心论断是电力容量等于经济容量,并配图称不存在低电价且富裕的国家。Gelsinger 称过去10到15年美国关停煤电的速度与新增可再生能源相当,全国能源容量近乎零增长,经济容量随之停滞15年;目前全国能源容量年增约4%。他支持以核电作为基荷,同时指出可再生能源深度依赖中国,并认为电力容量会抑制对AI的乐观情绪,因为新建数据中心若无法供电,购买百万块GPU没有意义。
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正文
Energy capacity = economic capacity, in one chart
There are no low electricity, rich countries
"Energy Capacity = Economic Capacity" Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger on why America's power grid is the ceiling on growth: "We went through 10 to 15 years where essentially I was taking coal offline at the rate I was adding renewables, and essentially the nation was flatlined in terms of overall energy capacity." "So essentially our economic capacity as a nation, flat for fifteen years." "Even with that, we've gone to maybe increasing our national energy capacity 4% per year. Going from essentially zero to one." "Nuclear as base load is a fabulous thing that we want to go build more of. Unfortunately all of our renewables have deep dependencies in China." "Energy capacity somewhat dampens how euphoric we can get on AI. Why build a new data center and buy the million GPUs if I can't power them?" @PGelsinger @RaghuRaghuram @appenz在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源:a16z · x.com