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a16z· @a16z · X·· 18 天前AI 评分50
AI 导读

Databricks 的 Ali Ghodsi 在 a16z 访谈中提出,AI 真正实现自我改进需要四个条件同时成立:下一代模型训练所需资源更少、训练时间更短、准确率与智能水平提升,且这三点可反复迭代。他认为若四个条件同时满足,可能带来下一代模型用时和资源减半且更智能的加速,但他不确定这是否必然导向超智能。

AI 生成摘要 · 以原文为准

正文

Ali Ghodsi of @Databricks on the four conditions that would have to hold for AI to truly improve itself:

"The next model requires less resources, less GPUs to train... The second condition: the next model takes less time to train as well. Third, accuracy of the model, the intelligence is increasing. And fourth, we can do the former three again and again and again... All at the same time, not just any of them."

"If you just mean that the software is writing itself, we're already there today. Like 90-some percent of the software in Databricks is written by AI. Does it matter if the last few percent is also written by AI? No."

"If you're getting these four conditions, then you might get a speed-up where the next model, let's say, takes half amount of time and half the resources, and it is more intelligent... By the way, I don't even know if that necessarily leads you to superintelligence."

"A lot of people, their definition is just, 'Hey, if I'm not even coding anymore and it's coding itself'... I think they're conflating, 'Hey, what's my value and is it scary for me?' Versus, 'Hey, that then means we'll get that superintelligence that in 2014 was hypothesized by Bostrom.'"

@alighodsi @martin_casado @sarah_wang

来源:a16z · x.com