SemiAnalysis· @SemiAnalysis_ · X·· 18 天前AI 评分61
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SemiAnalysis 分析指出,美国数据中心暂停令并未阻止整体建设。其分析师统计,暂停令覆盖区域约 21GW 容量中,除德州 TCEQ 暂停外,实际可能被推迟的仅约 2.3GW。该数据被《经济学人》引用,后者实地走访密歇根、俄亥俄后认为暂停令目前雷声大雨点小,更大的风险是影响新项目选址而非建设本身。
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Moratoriums aren't killing the US datacenter buildout.
Our analyst @mayabarkin finds only ~2.3 GW of ~21 GW in moratorium areas (excluding the TCEQ pause in Texas) is likely to be delayed, as cited in The Economist.
For more, read her report in the SemiAnalysis newsletter👇️
https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/everyone-says-datacenter-moratoriums
https://x.com/ArchieHall/status/2111159748582359534?s=20
A few reflections from travelling (w/ @ed_shackle, @sebwride++) through data-centre country in Michigan/Ohio in my latest for @TheEconomist. 1/ The issue really is moving votes to the Democrats. That's now visible in our polling, too (h/t @OwenWntr), but also in the scale of on-the-ground discontent. I'm quite a bit more bearish on the prospects for big new data-centre projects in blue states after the trip. 2/ I really didn't hear that much direct anti-AI sentiment. The mood much more was a cocktail of worries about local harms (water, electricity bills, house prices), plus a total distrust of businesses and politicians. Against that backdrop, assurances about the water usage of closed-loop cooling systems really don't cut through. And, though developers will doubtless get cannier at this, cash payoffs to communities can easily look like subterfuge and do little to help. 3/ Still, moratoriums are at this stage much more bark than bite (h/t @mayabarkin for the data there). Only about 2GW seems actually delayed. The bigger risk is deterring newer projects, but I'd still guess that affects the exact locations more than whether the build-out happens at all. 4/ The question I'm left with is what comes after data centres as the big AI political issue into next year. A few obvious candidates are: a big cyberattack, the sheer scale of AI-related PAC spending in the 2028 cycle, the early innings of job displacement. 5/ What the data-centre issue should tell us, I think, is that voters' hostility to new technologies that change their lives in unpleasant ways is vast—especially when those changes are less positive-sum than data centres. So, however mad you expect AI as a technology to make the next few years, scale that up accordingly to account for a much more scrambled politics. Do take a look at my piece on this here: https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/10/15/the-impact-of-data-centre-discontent And at our Checks and Balances podcast, where I contributed a short diary featuring lots of conversations with voters https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2026/10/16/the-data-centre-backlash在 X 查看被引用的帖子
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